https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2019/03/turkey-israel-usa-supported-jerusalem-summit.html?utm_campaign=20190325&utm_source=sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=Daily%20Newsletter
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Turkey may have an air force, but the pilots who flew until recently are (mostly) all in jail. She has a military industrial complex that builds ships and submarines, but like the drill ships she has put out to sea, they remain manned by crews of very little experience.
...Erdogan may have dreams for Turkey he can justify; and he has demonstrated his capacity to move quickly on many grand schemes. I ask, will he go too far? Having in affect isolated himself from the rest of the world, "Turkishness" has taken a value, greater than the Universal qualities that bind us, "Turkish" and not "Turkish", alike. What with an Ottoman past, and an intention to end the Kemalist intervention on the State of Turkey for his own, he has high ambitions.
...i would like to see many more tables, like Greece, Turkey, and Cyprus, one with Syria, Cyprus, and Turkey, seems just as likely to produce the favorable results that so far have been demonstrated, with all the Tripartite meetings.
...what seems apparent is that Turkey seeks, by ignoring Cyprus' Sovereignty, (and the Treaty of Lausanne), supremacy over and under a span of the Eastern Mediterranean Sea which includes anything east of Italian shores, between Libya, and Egypt southward, west of the shores of Lebanon and Syria: "her" Continental Shelf;
(lol) Greece is next indeed.
Turkey may survive Erdogan, he may surprise us all with a small change in intentions, this "but one", meriting the rest of the world's esteem; Cyprus is not small in that regard. And in that regard, being Turkey's National Issue, only a (re)united Cyprus provides Hope to the People of Turkey, now divided by "Turkishness", as were the Cypriots.
Monday, March 25, 2019
Monday, March 04, 2019
Our View: Great news about gas, but no change to main obstacle
https://cyprus-mail.com/2019/03/03/our-view-great-news-about-gas-but-no-change-to-main-obstacle/
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...in any case we can count on Erdogan's Turkey to push his Agenda, perhaps too far. In effect Cyprus is important because, without Cyprus, so to speak, his supremacy on, and under, this sea is secured.
...let's not forget what Erdogan has said on the subject, that this is Turkey's Continental shelf, and that it covers a significant territory beyond Cyprus. And, let's not forget his plaint regarding the Treaty of Lausanne, that as far as he is concerned it is invalid. Indeed, Cyprus is not well positioned against Turkey as a military adversary under such circumstances. Its dependence on the unity of regional allies, and the Rule of Law, does not exclude a need for the support of larger powers (also allies with Turkey) with the Naval capacity to demonstrate a similar unity toward the Universal Principals Cyprus seeks to defend despite perhaps being in conflict with each other, these threats having been identified as the same threat to them all.
...in a counter intuitive kind of way, i am hopeful. There will be a moment where it will be clear, Greece is next, so too Syria. Despite the short term nuances of allies, and enmity, with Turkey succeeding in dominating with its views, even Russia is not safe should the Bosporus be closed to them (one way or another). It does not stop at Cyprus, and it does not stop with Greece, Syria, and Lebanon, (Iran, Iraq,) either, until what spans from Italy's shores to whatever is east of it, south to Egypt, and Libya, is under Erdogan's control.
...the question is, who will fight, him?
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...in any case we can count on Erdogan's Turkey to push his Agenda, perhaps too far. In effect Cyprus is important because, without Cyprus, so to speak, his supremacy on, and under, this sea is secured.
...let's not forget what Erdogan has said on the subject, that this is Turkey's Continental shelf, and that it covers a significant territory beyond Cyprus. And, let's not forget his plaint regarding the Treaty of Lausanne, that as far as he is concerned it is invalid. Indeed, Cyprus is not well positioned against Turkey as a military adversary under such circumstances. Its dependence on the unity of regional allies, and the Rule of Law, does not exclude a need for the support of larger powers (also allies with Turkey) with the Naval capacity to demonstrate a similar unity toward the Universal Principals Cyprus seeks to defend despite perhaps being in conflict with each other, these threats having been identified as the same threat to them all.
...in a counter intuitive kind of way, i am hopeful. There will be a moment where it will be clear, Greece is next, so too Syria. Despite the short term nuances of allies, and enmity, with Turkey succeeding in dominating with its views, even Russia is not safe should the Bosporus be closed to them (one way or another). It does not stop at Cyprus, and it does not stop with Greece, Syria, and Lebanon, (Iran, Iraq,) either, until what spans from Italy's shores to whatever is east of it, south to Egypt, and Libya, is under Erdogan's control.
...the question is, who will fight, him?
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